Okay, so for those who don't know me very well (which is most, if not all of you) it will probably be news to you that I read a lot of science fiction. Perhaps it's not shocking news, but I don't think I've ever mentioned this before. One of my favorite authors is Larry Niven. I am a devout Nivenite and have read almost all his books (which are quite numerous). He's not everyone's cup of tea, but I like a little imagination in my books. The best thing about his books is that some (possibly a lot) of them include things that really could happen at some point. One of the books I just read a couple weeks ago included one of those things, and it was actually rather chilling.
The setting of this book is a few decades later than now. I think it was around 2050 but I don't recall exactly. The world is run by major corporations and the citizens of the world now pledge allegiance to various mega-companies instead of their traditional national ties (save for a few stragglers who are resisting the change). With out the various nations, who is in power? A group of people referred to as "the council" emerges. They're the heads of those major companies. Most of them are very old, kept alive just with extreme medical assistance, and they are completely detached from society. As a matter of fact, no one even sees these real figures or really even knows who they are. Some people are known to be members of that "council" but many of the members aren't even known to the rest of the world.
Technology can be a scary thing, and that's the main thing you'll be left with from reading this book. It will make you second guess your web cam, online banking, self-timing anything, and pretty much anything else that's technology related. The biggest fear that we should have from technology, though, is the opportunity it gives to completely bamboozle the entire world.
I'm sure we've all thought about it. Is what we see in the news really what's going on? Is what we hear about our medications and medical procedures really accurate? Could we just be pawns in a world wide game of chess?
Okay, maybe I'm the only one that's thought that last part, but I'm sure the growing technology available to us has caused someone besides me to stop and question what we're told. Anyway, I digress.
As you can imagine, in 40 years once we have finally succeeded in getting better medical care to the third world and providing food for everyone on the planet, what do you think will happen to birthrates? Studies and statistics have shown that women with the lowest education level have the highest number of children. This isn't going to change just by providing medical care and nutrition, so the high birthrate of the less educated/poor will continue.
In the story, the poor and uneducated are grossly out numbering the more intelligent and educated after a few more decades of the birthrate differences. The world is over crowded now that nutrition can be provided and medical care prevents most babies from dying. Basically, the world is being over populated and turn into a giant ghetto, and someone comes up with a skeezy plan to fix it.
Vaccines are commonly given to children to prevent diseases. Wouldn't it be nice, though, if someone could find a way to not have to stab the kids with needles to give them shots? Well, someone thought of that in this story. Vaccines were given to mothers that could pass through the placenta to the child. So, the child was born inocculated.
The vaccines that were given to the mothers, unfortunately, had something else slipped in them by the rich figureheads of the companies that ruled the world. They also added something to the vaccine that prevented any female children born to the mother who got the vaccine shot from becoming fertile.
The vaccines were only given to women in the third world contries and poor areas where diseases still run rampant. So in essence, the rulers of the world sterilized much of the worlds population that was out breeding the educated, filling the world with more mouths depending on international aid, and crowding the world with squalor and ignorance. Low and behold, 14 to 16 years after the shots began being given to the mothers, many cases of infertility in young wives were noticed. The number grew and grew, until it was confirmed by the world that someone had sterilized their daughters.
Now, I highly doubt that would actually happen (at least not soon), but it is a noted fact that the uneducated outbreed the educated. This isn't necessarily a bad thing, because I think the birthrate for women with college degrees is like 1.6 or something. It takes 2 people to make a baby. When they die, if they followed the birthrate, they'd only leave 1.6 people behind (if that was possible). So the population would be shrinking if that happened.
Currently though, it's only the population of those with college degrees that seems to be shrinking according to the numbers. A portion of them could be replaced by those who come from a non-educated family but still continue their education, but I can't seem to find a statistic for that.
Currently it's estimated that by 2050 (the date I think the book was set in) the global population will be over 9 billion. Currently it's not even 7 billion and already becoming over populated. It doesn't really matter who is breeding to much and/or where, the real problem is that in just a few generations the world is going to be over populated. There won't be enough resources to support the population, there will be massive amounts of pullution, and starvation or disease will probably end up taking out a large number quickly and violently.
We've found ways to get around all the sad facts of life. Babies don't die often anymore, people are living longer and longer, those who are infertile can get fertility treatments and have kids anyway, diseases are avoided, and it's going to do nothing but cause our population to grow to the point that the planet can't support us.
We are the top of the food chain. What we've done here is take away all of our natural down falls. We have absolutely none now, basically. There's nothing to keep our population from exploding. This can be seen all the time in nature. If you remove a predator, then whatever they eat is going to have a population boom and whatever that species eats will be completely depleated. It's destroyed eco systems in places. I'm guessing this also works on a global scale with those at the very top of the chain (us).
I'm thinking that because college degrees (and most likely careers) are what prevents the upper classes from having many children, perhaps the developed world should be making a far greater effort to educate everyone. Realistically speaking, if no one does anything the world's population will be double what it is now within 100 years.
What do you think should be done? Have you ever considered global over-population before?
**I would like to note that I completely do not support the sterilization of the third world countries. That's completely fucked up and was just an example from the book I was reading (Saturn's Race by Larry Niven if you'd like to check it out). I'm far more supportive of education and encouraging birthcontrol.